Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 164.080933 190.768133 221.884908 261.213999 310.122907 369.649785 4.486853e+02
2025-06-08 125.302390 157.181313 198.370556 256.789087 339.737698 456.965004 6.423753e+02
2025-06-15 108.864706 143.907846 192.585876 267.754819 386.061993 575.157789 9.244294e+02
2025-06-22 91.470721 125.108036 174.124429 254.340344 390.147182 627.967429 1.124403e+03
2025-06-29 81.328858 114.627540 165.266476 252.653583 411.125381 714.573045 1.433325e+03
2025-07-06 73.637375 106.487993 158.324522 252.075669 433.048403 810.045947 1.822761e+03
2025-07-13 70.418952 104.709908 161.053289 268.454044 491.247994 1004.651651 2.623542e+03
2025-07-20 68.246599 104.220902 165.690588 289.122200 564.694429 1271.877902 3.952231e+03
2025-07-27 63.764517 99.254482 161.639700 291.815655 599.102183 1457.611066 5.261585e+03
2025-08-03 60.503152 95.979614 160.133744 299.334666 647.562682 1714.021069 7.378656e+03
2025-08-10 56.684803 91.285299 155.289773 298.643485 674.968795 1922.229037 9.758725e+03
2025-08-17 53.827573 88.025449 152.776075 302.677763 716.902879 2214.607848 1.370617e+04
2025-08-24 50.299009 83.498656 147.816512 301.713228 749.813517 2526.332624 1.970644e+04
2025-08-31 46.693496 78.525625 141.436497 296.413588 769.421611 2813.248413 2.789726e+04
2025-09-07 45.054012 77.137110 142.326000 309.648568 856.305358 3546.484382 5.334016e+04
2025-09-14 41.305031 71.242588 132.775595 293.464012 833.992904 3652.841716 6.786887e+04
2025-09-21 38.994837 68.011926 128.702165 291.432361 864.234789 4142.561431 1.126200e+05
2025-09-28 37.006175 65.249103 125.338956 290.736460 900.245413 4747.038228 2.065950e+05
2025-10-05 36.490276 65.449334 128.754081 310.493540 1032.796886 6437.856064 8.261251e+05
2025-10-12 36.229609 66.149247 133.440390 335.525652 1208.696122 9216.125104 1.109025e+07
2025-10-19 34.784399 64.176210 131.398096 338.795812 1282.255092 11177.135388 5.504315e+08
2025-10-26 33.735943 62.973386 131.117897 347.934286 1395.337945 14371.861466 NaN
2025-11-02 32.300335 60.795363 128.110290 347.093654 1452.865967 17060.166480 NaN